Lying comes as easily as breathing to Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach.
And on Sunday, his continued support of Donald Trump’s Big Lie — that millions of people voted illegally in the presidential race — continued to be touted on talk shows by Trump’s sycophants.
Vice-president elect Mike Pence defended the claim citing no statistics at all. Reince Priebus, Trump’s pick for chief of staff, also cited no proof in his appearance. All of this came after Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway said days ago that Kobach was a source of Trump’s bogus claim.
Kobach got national attention early last week when he defended Trump’s statement with the Kansas media.
So let’s go to the videotape — as found here on The Kansas City Star — and show the damning evidence to reveal that Kobach is not just cherry-picking data. He’s making factual misstatements.
Or what I call lies.
— His entire arguments rests on this: Kobach says that a 2008 survey by the Cooperative Congressional Election Study estimated that 11.3 percent of noncitizens voted in that year’s election.
No, it absolutely does NOT state that.
In fact, authors of another study used information from the survey and then made the original claim — which they even called a “best-guess” estimate — of that 11.3 percent figure.
However, they then reduced that original claim to 6.4 percent more than two years ago.
Kobach should have known that last week. It’s been in all the papers.
— Here’s an extremely important fact that Kobach did not mention last week.
The authors who made the original contention using CCES data also produced a “best guess” estimate for the 2010 elections. Based on even more CCES responses than were reviewed in 2008, the authors claimed that 2.2 percent of noncitizens voted in elections that year.
The figure wasn’t 11.3 percent or even 6.4 percent. The most recent study performed by these authors says it was just 2.2 percent.
Don’t give Kobach a pass on not knowing all this. It’s been in wide circulation for two years among the voter fraud crowd that he runs in.
— Kobach in last week’s video said there were “28 million aliens of all categories” in the United States.
However, Kobach was wrong about an easily verifiable figure.
The U.S. Census Bureau estimated the total number of noncitizens at 22.38 million in 2012. That was 7.2 percent of the population. The rest were citizens. Even adjusting for a more recent U.S population growth, the noncitizens total could be just over 23 million right now.
And the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation pegged the number of noncitizens at 22.984 million in 2015.
Whoosh: Almost 500,000 alleged noncitizen voters just vanished from Kobach’s phantom vote-fraud count, even using the highest and most bogus possible multiplier of 11.3 percent.
Now, use the 2.2 percent estimate that was claimed in the most recent survey in 2010. The number of “noncitizens” in the 2016 election would plunge all the way down to a far punier total of 500,000.
That’s not “millions.”
— Finally, even that 500,000 estimate is probably far too high.
The very people who run the Cooperative Congressional Election Study said in late 2014 that “the likely percent of non-citizen voters in recent U.S. elections is 0.”
Kobach can continue to make a fool of himself and of Kansans by claiming that millions of people voted illegally in 2016.
But watch the video and see he provides no proof of that claim and — in fact — ignores data showing he’s wrong.